One Step Over The Line?

Has a small but fundamental shift already taken place in US politics?

Bill Clinton was re-elected with 49 percent of the vote in times of apparent peace and apparent prosperity – the most favorable posture in which to run. George W. Bush was re-elected with 51 percent of the vote in times not of apparent peace and apparent prosperity. Clinton’s 49 percent in retrospect looks like a ceiling for his party. Bush’s 51 percent may be more in the nature of a floor.

The argument is plausible.

Hat Tip: Polipundit